Greek June Elections 2012: 90% of Votes counted…

According to official Singular Logic:

ND 29.83%  120 seats

SYRIZA 26.78% 71

PASOk 12.40% 33


CHRYSI AVGI 6.90% 18


KKE 4.52% 12

My crystal ball hints on  ND-PASOK-DEMLEFT coalition government…

Friday, June 22: Greece vs Germany EURO2012: it’s more than Football 🙂


4 Responses to “Greek June Elections 2012: 90% of Votes counted…”

  1. euskal Says:

    what time does this statement refer to? stopcartel is still reporting about a head to head race…

  2. Gray Says:

    Not sure if there’ll be a coalition this time, kt. Sure, the seats of the pro bailout parties add up to a majority now, but there isn’t a really strong incentive for Pasok to join a ND government. They received a horrible punishment (down to less than 13% now) for their government work so far, and it won’t become easier as the much smaller partner in a not-so-grand coalition now. ND would dominate, and the probably lousy politics of Samaras would drive “socialist” voters away in droves. I don’t know if the patriotism of Venizelos and his gang is strong enough make them become political martyrs.

    And as for the Democratic Left, it would be almost suicide for them to join. The Syriza folks, not burdened with any responsibility, will criticize every single government decision very harshly, with the strong (because unverifiable) argument that their anti-Troika stance is better. This will hurt the most left wing coalition members the most. Not surprisingly, Kouvelis has desperately insisted on only joining a government that includes Syriza.

    It’s more probably that the Independent Greeks will get on board, even though Kammenis’ hatred of both Samaras and Venizelos is a big obstacle. The rebel conservatives may profit from posing as the better right wingers in a coalition with ND, by wringing concessions from the larger party. But more conservative politics would bring problems with Pasok, so such a government mix would rather be less stable than a two party team. And why should Samaras extend a hand to Kammenos when there isn’t any necessity to do so?

    And then, under the not very inspiring conditions now, it’s rather unlikely that a coalition party can deliver any goodies for their voters. The total lack of money has terminated the clientele politics of the past and thus removed the major pillar of modern Greek democracy. So, to form a coalition government still isn’t easy now. It all depends on Samaras ability to offer the other parties a good deal, to sweeten the bitter pill.

    Remembering the past screwups of the ND leader and his embarassing performance when tasked with the same job one month ago, I’m not really optimistic. For Greece, yet another deadlock could lead to a stop of Troika payments and an unorderly default, with all the horrible consequences, but it isn’t clear if the selfish Greek politicians would sacrifice anything in order to avoid that. We can only hope that reason prevails.

  3. AntonisX Says:

    Think you made a typo? ND has 129 seats. Together with PASOK they come to 162. But I agree with your crystal ball. And I more than agree with your statement concerning GRE v GER. That will be a celebration of neighborly love and common ground. Look at the letters. Even THAT they have in common. 😆

  4. Gray Says:

    Hahaha, “a celebration of neighborly love and common ground”! Wish it will be so. I hope people won’t forget it’s only football, exciting sports, but still only a matter of secondary importance.

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